Arizona at Washington

Ken Wisenhunt made a controversial decision when he decided to start Kurt Warner over Matt Leinhart. Benching the supposed "franchise" quarterback, a first-round pick, took lots of courage. So far he has looked like a genius in doing so. Last week Warner threw for 361 yards on 19-24 and three TD passes, and had over 200 yards in the first half alone. The Cardinals appear to be for real, especially if Warner has regained his old magic. When this guy isn't pressured, he is one of the best, which many people have forgotten. He has a very dangerous core of recievers, and the Skins have recorded just four sacks so far. The bottom line is that Arizona isn't yet getting the respect they deserve. Washington and Jason Campbell were struggling with Jim Zorn's West Coast offense through the preseason and into week one, and the talk was that they were just not a good fit. But then he puts up 300+ on New Orleans, and suddenly he is there? New Orleans is weak in the secondary to begin with, and they were missing three key pieces in their defensive backfield in Randall Gay, Roman Harper and Mike Mckenzie last week. The reality is, Campbell had a big boost, but I expect a decline this week. My computer matchups have Arizona keeping this close, with either team having a good shot at winning and I agree. There is value on the Cardinals here as a dog. Arizona has been a predominate OVER team the last three seasons as their games have gone over 22 times in their last 33 games, or 67%, and 14-3 OVER after an ATS win (82.4%). With the Arizona offensive firepower, I like this game to go OVER as well.