Arizona QB Kyler Murray finally returned last week in a 25-23 win over Atlanta. Still, he didn't have any TD passes while throwing an interception with a 51.6 QB rating. The Cardinals were 3-of-11 on third down and rank 24th in the NFL for the season on third down (35.71%). The offense is averaging 10.2 points on the road. Houston doesn't have much offensive balance behind rookie QB C.J. Stroud ranked 24th in rushing while averaging 3.6 yards per carry (30th). The Texans are 25-12 UNDER the total against rush defenses that allow 130 or more yards per game in the second half of the season. And NFL home teams with a winning percentage between 51-60% are 82-40 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points versus a losing team in the second half of the season. Take Arizona/Houston UNDER the total as a Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on November 17, 2023 at 10:45AM ET.
NFL
Arizona at Houston
November 19, 2023
1:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 49 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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