New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Hard to want to believe the Eagles are just three points better than the Giants here. The Giants weakened their team when they traded away Saquon Barkley, who led the way with 482 yards and four touchdowns. His stats have been added to Philadelphia, while he has been subtracted from the Giants. The Eagles are 3-2 on the season despite getting behind all the time. Philadelphia, through five games, has not scored a single point in the first quarter all season. The fact they are 3-2 despite playing offense for just 3 quarters tells me they are under-valued here. Jalen Hurts completed his first game of the season without a turnover, and I look for Philadelphia to rise and be better. Make the play on Philadelphia.

New York gave the Eagles a tough time on Christmas Day before losing 33-25 and now the Giants can play a possible spoiler role because Philadelphia can clinch the NFC East with a win plus a Dallas loss or tie OR a Philadelphia tie and a Dallas loss. The Giants, of course, have nothing to lose and will go all out to defeat their rivals and the Eagles have lost four of their past five games, including 35-31 as a 12.5-point favorite against Arizona on Sunday. James Connor ran for a go-ahead 2-yard TD with 32 seconds left as the Cardinals overcame a 15-point halftime deficit. Meanwhile, New York gave the Rams all they could handle while losing 26-25 to the Rams. Tyrod Taylor is back as the starting QB and threw for 319 yards for the Giants, who have gone OVER five of their past seven games. The Eagles went OVER their past two games by an average of 18 points and they have gone OVER five of six as favorites. Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS its past 10 games following a loss and it has gone OVER four straight after scoring more than 30 points its previous game. Take the Giants and the OVER.

Philadelphia has lost three in a row while scoring only 16.3 points per game following a 20-17 defeat at Seattle on Monday night when Jalen Hurts threw two late interceptions and the game stayed UNDER by nine points. New York is 10-4 UNDER this season and its latest loss was 24-6 against New Orleans and it went UNDER by 9.5 points. The Giants are second-to-last in the NFL in total offense and will start rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito again and he has thrown for 1,032 yards and eight TDs with three interceptions in seven games this year. New York is 37-16-3 UNDER its past 56 games after losing by more than 14 points and 10-3 UNDER after scoring fewer than 15 points its previous game. The Eagles have gone UNDER eight of 10 Monday games and six of seven overall following a loss. The Giants are 36-14-2 UNDER as underdogs. Play the UNDER as a Max Play.

These teams met in the regular season finale and it went UNDER by 5.5 points, which was much different than in the first meeting when the Eagles won 48-22. This game will be more like the rematch as New York has allowed an average of only 19 points since that first game and that includes its 31-24 win over Minnesota in the playoffs last week. The Vikings were held to 61 yards rushing while Saquon Barkley carried only nine times for 53 yards for the Giants, who figure to use him a lot more in this game and keep the clock running. Philadelphia leads the league in sacks with 70 and no one else is even close. The Eagles finished the season #1 in yards allowed and #7 in scoring defense, allowing 20.2 points per game (New York allowed 21.8). Philadelphia had seven sacks in the first meeting and two more in the rematch, and the Eagles are healthier on defense benefiting from the week off. Jalen Hurts made his return from injury in the season finale and was 20 of 35 for 229 yards with no TDs and an interception. The UNDER is 13-4-1 following a Giants win and they are 14-4-2 UNDER their past 20 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their previous game. The Eagles are 9-1-1 UNDER their past 11 home playoff games. Take the UNDER.

New York's starters might not play much locked into the No. 6 seed. It's a one-dimensional offense, fourth in rushing but 25th in passing, while the defense is fifth on third down (35.08%). The Giants are on a 31-15 run UNDER the total, including 26-12 UNDER as a dog. Philadelphia won't rest any starters with a chance to win the NFC East and the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The defense is No. 1 in the NFL in yards allowed and against the pass, plus eighth in points given up (20.5 pg). The Eagles are 30-16 UNDER the total at home after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in the last game. And NFL home teams like Philadelphia off of a double-digit loss as a favorite are 54-22 UNDER the total in conference action. Take New York/Philadelphia UNDER the total.