Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville is a road favorite in the finale with a division title on the line, tied with the Texans and Colts at 9-7. They were favored in their last road game, too...and lost 30-12 at Tampa Bay. This is not an elite defense, ranked 20th in yards allowed and 15th in points given up. The Jaguars are 4-19 ATS after allowing 200 or fewer total yards in the last game, plus 15-30 ATS after allowing four or fewer yards per play in the previous contest. Tennessee is well-coached and will play hard in the role of spoiler. They've lost all of their road games but one, but are 4-4 at home. In their last five home games, they beat Atlanta and Carolina, while losing three others by three points each time. And the Titans are 17-5 ATS at home after scoring nine or fewer points in the last game. Play Tennessee. 

Tennessee is 7-2 UNDER this season and playing well defensively allowing 20.0 points per game, but the offense needs to get in gear as the Titans have scored only 22 points their past two games against Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. Will Levis has not thrown a touchdown pass his past two games after throwing four in his spectacular NFL debut against Atlanta on Oct. 29. Jacksonville has scored only 23 points its past two games, including a 34-3 loss to San Francisco. The Jaguars looked terrible in every phase of the game against the 49ers even coming off a bye week and the game stayed UNDER by 7.5 points. The Jaguars also went UNDER by 11 points while defeating Pittsburgh 20-10 the previous week. Trevor Lawrence had only 185 passing yards with two interceptions against San Francisco. The Titans are 6-1 ATS their past seven games after accumulating fewer than 250 total yards their previous game and they are 6-0 UNDER as road underdogs. The Jaguars haven't covered a number this big all season. Take the points with the Titans and the UNDER as a Max Play.

Tennessee has lost two straight as the offense continues to struggle and the Titans are averaging only 18.2 points this season and they totaled only 209 yards of offense in their 35-10 loss to Philadelphia last week. Derrick Henry was held in check with just 30 yards on 11 carries and Ryan Tannehill completed 14 of 22 for 141 yards and a touchdown. Things are bad enough with the Titans that they fired their general manager, Jon Robinson, in midseason although they lead the wrethced NFC South with a 7-5 record. Jacksonville has shown flashes of an improving team the last four weeks while defeating Las Vegas and Baltimore, but losing to Kansas City and Detroit. The Jaguars were embarrassed last week in their blowout loss to the Lions and that likely means a focused squad ready to redeem itself this week. The Jaguars have gone UNDER four of their past six games and Tennessee is 7-2 UNDER its past nine games. Jacksonville is 19-7 UNDER its past 26 games overall and 18-7 UNDER after losing by at least two touchdowns. The Titans are 13-3 UNDER their past 16 home games and they have stayed UNDER six straight versus AFC teams. Take the Jaguars as a Max Play and the UNDER as a Max Play.