New England just lost an emotional, hard-fought battle with Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, and now the Patriots have to go on the road to play a team that is ready to redeem itself after getting humiliated, 40-0, at Buffalo on Sunday. Houston beat Jacksonville in the season opener and then lost to two quality teams in Cleveland and Carolina, but it all fell apart last week when Buffalo picked off four passes of Davis Mills, who completed only 11 of 21 for 87 yards while filling in for Tyrod Taylor. The Patriots are averaging only 17.8 points themselves and are 1-3 for the first time in 20 years. New England is #26 in total yards per game and #31 in rushing yards per game. Mac Jones went 31 of 40 for 275 yards and two touchdowns against Tampa Bay, but this week will be his second road start. The Texans won last year's meeting, 27-20, and they also defeated the Pats 28-22 in 2019. New England is 1-8-1 ATS following an ATS win and 2-7 ATS its last nine as a favorite. Take the Texans for a Max Play.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Houston Texans on the -6.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Houston would win by a score of 21.2 to 16.2 with Houston winning on the moneyline, New England winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
NFL Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 88% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the -8 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 23.1 to 19.1 with New England winning on the moneyline, Houston winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
New England at Houston
1:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the -2.5 ATS. 59% of the public money was on New England Patriots to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Houston would win by a score of 25.0 to 23.7 with Houston winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on New England Patriots on the -3 ATS. 71% of the public money was on New England Patriots to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 24.1 to 19.2 with New England winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
New England at Houston
8:20 PM Eastern
New England's tremendous defense won another game for the Patriots as Tom Brady and the offense struggled mightily to put points on the board. Brady finished just 17-of-37 for 190 yards and Julian Edelman caught eight passes for 93 yards. Sony Michel rushed 20 times for 85 yards. The Pats are thin at wide receiver though and Brady hasn't been his old self the last several games. Houston hung on and got a much-needed win over the Colts on Thursday night and will have three extra days to prepare for this one. Houston QB Deshaun Watson bounced back from a subpar performance against the Ravens and threw for 298 yards on 19-of-30 with two touchdowns and an interception. Will Fuller had seven receptions for 140 yards and Carlos Hyde rushed for 67 yards. The Texans are 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 games when following a loss and the home team is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Houston is #7 in yards of offense compared to #17 for New England. The Texans have kept it close in every game this season except against Baltimore. Take the points and play on the Texans.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Houston Texans on the +6 ATS. 52% of the public money was on Houston Texans to win on the moneyline. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New England would win by a score of 29.5 to 21.7 with New England winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
Houston at New England
1:00 PM Eastern
Houston was hampered by injuries last year and the most devastating was Deshaun Watson tearing an ACL after seven stellar games. Watson threw for 1,699 yards and 19 touchdowns and ran for 269 yards and two TDs. Also returning is three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year in J.J. Watt, who played just eight games the last two years due to a back injury and then a broken leg. Watt compiled 38 sacks and 116 tackles in 2014-15. The teams played a memorable game last September when New England was down by five points with a little more than two minutes remaining and Tom Brady took the Patriots 75 yards, including a 25-yard touchdown pass to Brandin Cooks and then hit Cooks for the 2-point conversion and the Pats won 36-33. Watson finished 22-of-33 for 301 yards with two touchdowns and solidified his starting QB spot. The Patriots are just 1-4 ATS their last five Week 1 games and Houston has covered five of its last seven September games. New England did not look too great in preseason and may have a post-Super Bowl loss hangover. Grab the points with the Texans.
Final Score
Get free premium picks daily.