First-place Green Bay opened as the underdog, and they've won both times as a dog this season, winning at Minnesota (43-34) as a +2 dog and a 37-30 victory at New Orleans as a +3 underdog. QB Aaron Rodgers (26 TDs, 3 INTs) is having a terrific season as the offense is sixth in total yards and passing, third in points (30.8 per game), while the defense is Top 10 in yards allowed. The Packers are 8-3 ATS versus winning teams, plus 48-23-1 ATS following a spread loss. Indianapolis is off an emotional win at Tennessee in a battle for first place in the AFC South. 38-year old QB Philip Rivers (11 TDs, 6 INTs) doesn't have dazzling stats, and the team hasn't had a difficult schedule. Two games ago they had a showdown at home with Baltimore and flopped in a 24-10 defeat. And QB Aaron Rodgers is 76-50 ATS against winning teams in the second half of the season. Play Green Bay.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Indianapolis Colts on the -2.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 23.7 to 21.1 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 77% of the public bets were on Green Bay Packers on the +1.5 ATS. 73% of the public money was on Green Bay Packers to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Indianapolis would win by a score of 26.7 to 24.5 with Indianapolis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Green Bay at Indianapolis
4:25 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Green Bay Packers on the -7.5 ATS. 67% of the public money was on Green Bay Packers to win on the moneyline. And, 77% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 29.2 to 22.6 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline, Indianapolis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Indianapolis at Green Bay
4:25 PM Eastern
The Packers have had trouble on offense this season with Aaron Rodgers reaching 300 yards only once thus far in seven games. Just when it appeared to get back on track, the defense was torched by Matt Ryan and the Falcons in a 33-32 loss on Sunday. Ryan was nearly perfect, completing 28-of-35 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Falcons outgained the Packers 367-331 and Ryan hit Mohamed Sanu in the end zone with an 11-yard touchdown pass with just 31 seconds remaining to tie the game before the extra point won it. Green Bay is ranked 20th in the league in total offense yards per game (342.3) while Indianapolis is #13 (360.5). The Packers were counting on Eddie Lacy to bounce back from a disappointing season, but he is on injured reserve with an ankle injury. The Colts have split their last four games, including a fourth quarter meltdown against Houston. Andrew Luck has completed 63.7 percent of his passes for 16 touchdowns and five interceptions and should have success in this game. Indy is off an embarrassing performance vs. Kansas City in which the Colts were outgained by 145 yards and lost by 16 points. That is affecting this line and I like Indy's chances of bouncing back. Over the past two and a half seasons, the Colts are 8-1 ATS after a game in which they were outgained by 100+ yards. Chuck Pagano's teams have always gotten better as the season goes along as the Colts are 24-13 ATS under Pagano after the first month of the season. Take the points and play the Colts.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Indianapolis Colts on the -3 ATS. 55% of the public money was on Green Bay Packers to win on the moneyline. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 24.8 to 14.5 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 81% of the public bets were on Green Bay Packers on the -6.5 ATS. 82% of the public money was on Green Bay Packers to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Green Bay would win by a score of 27.1 to 21.4 with Green Bay winning on the moneyline, Indianapolis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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