Sports bettors need to tread very carefully during the second week of the NFL season. NFL Week 2 can be like a mirage to a thirsty traveler in a hot desert: what appears to be a heavenly cold water oasis is actually a pile of hot sand that scorches your tongue.
What's happening is that folks have been waiting since the Super Bowl for the new season to begin, bombarded with months of ads, team expectations, and betting lines. When Week 1 is over, the average fan and the average bettor can read too much into what just happened, upsetting the proper analysis for the Week 2 betting odds. One NFL Week 1, the Patriots lost 31-0 to Buffalo.
They then won 17 of the next 18 games that ended by hoisting another Lombardi Trophy. Week 1 is only a tiny fraction of the season and doesn't always indicate the accurate strengths and weaknesses of a team.
Check out last weeks NFL week 1 picks.
Why Use NFL Week 2 Picks
After one week of NFL action, the statistics are skewed for all teams compared to when the regular season finally ends. For instance, in the above example, the Bills won 31-0 on opening day and then finished that season 6-10. They went from champs to chumps real fast.
Did you know that I provide NFL computer picks each week of the NFL season?
Getting free NFL picks can help novice bettors get a good look at how the Vegas professionals are examining Week 2. You'll find plenty of examples where they're backing teams that looked terrible in Week 1 and vice versa. It will help you grasp how the sports wagering professionals are viewing the Week 1 performances and Week 2 lines, which means the betting pros aren't overreacting to one game.
Betting Value in NFL Week 2 Picks
Understanding NFL public overreaction is key. If a team comes off a 4-13 campaign surprises in Week 1 with a 30-13 victory, the average bettor believes that team is vastly improved. Oddsmakers know this, too, and factor that into the Week 2 betting line. This can create instances where a team is overvalued by 2-3 points. That's a significant jump that pro bettors salivate for. Week 2 is a great opportunity to back undervalued underdogs and overvalued chalk (favorites).
Wunderdog NFL Week 2 Picks
I've been doing this for several decades and my NFL power ratings reflect what the true odds on a game should be. This helps me identify odds that deviate too much or teams that are undervalued going into week 2 creating outstanding betting value. Some side and total moves are major, others subtle, but I'm on the lookout for them.
The plays that I release have sound reasons behind them which I will reveal with a comprehensive analysis. All of this will aid you to understand clearly why NFL betting lines move, which odds are undervalued, and where the best opportunities lie to beat the spread.
Free NFL Week 2 Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 2 Picks Pros:
- Because of surprises, Week 2 is common for changes in public opinion regarding teams and lines. Pro picks are attuned to betting shifts that are real and those that are over-reactive.
- The information presented can change your perspective inside the huddle and inside the odds.
- There's no money down or lost to sign up for freebies from a trusted professional.
Free NFL Week 2 Pick Cons:
- You might know who is making the selections and what their background is.
- If you're short on wagering discipline and experience, you may feel inclined to double your parts after a rough start. Chasing money is the wrong betting strategy.
Premium NFL Week 2 Pick Pros:
- Convenience and time: Someone else is doing the research.
- If you're short on wagering experience, premium paid selections provide you with multiple legs up on bookies.
- Paid services can have access and insight into information that's not widely available.
Premium NFL Week 2 Pick Cons:
- Your money is on the line twice: purchasing selections and placing wagers.
- It can take the fun out of sports.
- Exaggerated winning percentages. Insist on yearly winning percentages and documented services.
How To Win With Free NFL Week 2 Picks
Week 2 betting lines are actually available before Week 1, though you may have to search for them. It's called the "early oddsmaking line" designed to get the Wise Guys to pounce on a soft number two weeks in advance. That way oddsmakers can make adjustments for a sharper line the week of the contest.
By accruing and analyzing free selections, you can better identify where the most variance is from week to week. You'll be able to see the difference between odds that the betting public overreacts to, while the betting pros pounce on.
Free NFL Week 2 Betting Strategy
Watch the Hype
A star quarterback may have a clunker of a Week 1 in a blowout loss. There will be hype from coast to coast that he's washed up, or the team is vastly overrated. Be careful about buying into hype and nonsense. The TV blowhards are paid to be loud and controversial to get ratings. Turning a regular profit in sports betting is about shifting through the smoke and focusing on what's really important on the field and at the wagering window.
Coaches and QBs Key
Many NFL coaches have a track record, good and bad. Examine their history of bouncing back after a surprising defeat or if they've been able to get the most out of teams. The same goes for quarterbacks. A consistently average quarterback off a season where he had 16 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, may explode for 400 yards and 4 TDs in Week 1.
Perhaps it was a great game against a soft defense, which portends he may come back to earth the next week. The track record of NFL coaches and quarterbacks are key factors for identifying soft lines and winning selections in Week 2.
Overreaction
Betting lines can overreact each week alongside the public perception of teams and players. Don't overreact, rather look into why a team may have had a bad performance.
- Was the game on the road?
- Was a normally great QB simply out of sync?
- Did his receivers drop too many third-down passes?
- Did some rookie offensive linemen simply have a poor game?
- Did the offense actually play well but simply whiff on putting up more points?
Let the general public overreact to help undervalue certain betting lines then take advantage in Week 2 and cash.
Free NFL Week 2 Picks Subscription
I have a proven documented track record of beating the books in multiple sports. It's about patience, discipline, money management, prolific databases, and understanding the Vegas odds. You can acquire my NFL Week 2 Picks packed with the winning reasons through a regular subscription service. Get this wagering value e-mailed to help you to start you on your way to beating the books on a consistent basis.
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