Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia has won seven in a row, but the Eagles have won 0-7 ATS in their past seven December games. Baltimore has won eight of 10 and its past five December contests. The Ravens come off a 30-23 victory over the Chargers on Monday night while holding Los Angeles to 83 yards rushing on 20 carries. That run defense will come in handy as the Ravens face Saquan Barkley, who torched the Rams for 255 yards on Sunday night, averaging 9.8 yards per carry. Baltimore is #2 in the NFL in rush defense, allowing just 77.9 yards per game, and the Ravens are #1, allowing 3.5 yards per carry. Baltimore has won seven of its past eight against the NFC East. Lamar Jackson completed 16 of 22 for 177 yards and two TDs with no picks against the Chargers, while Derrick Henry ran for 140 yards on 24 carries. The Ravens held a 389-285 edge in total yards. Look for Philadelphia's win streak to end with this matchup and take the Ravens.

Philadelphia is on a 7-2 run OVER the total in preseason. The 2024 QB rotation is very good with Jalen Hurts, Kenny Pickett, and Tanner McKee. In the last two years, the offense was in the Top 10 in yards and points. Baltimore has gone OVER the total in five of its last seven preseason contests. These teams clashed in Week 1 last August in a game that sailed OVER the total, 20-19, as both teams combined to go 16-of-32 on third down. Philadelphia had 154 yards rushing while Baltimore had 133 yards on the ground. Take Philadelphia/Baltimore OVER the total. 

The Baltimore Ravens just keep rolling along and have now lost just one regular-season game since the start of last year if they were not playing the Chiefs. The Ravens may have trouble bringing their "A" game here vs. the Eagles. The Eagles also match up well vs. the Ravens blitzing defense that sends extra rushers on almost half their defensive downs. Carson Wentz threw a pair of TDs last week against the Pittsburgh blitz, and he may have more opportunities vs. the Ravens. Lamar Jackson sat out part of the week before the Bengals game because of a knee injury, and he carried the ball just twice on designed runs. He may not be at 100%. And if that turns out to be true, the Eagles have a lot better chance here than many will be giving them. Make the play on Philadelphia.

This game will feature better weather for the defenses than the offense with rain and wind in the forecast. Philadelphia comes to town with a strong defense, #12 in the NFL in yards and points (20.9 points per game). The Eagles play hard for this first-year coaching staff and are mathematically still alive in the playoff race. Baltimore can't run the football and faces a speedy Philadelphia secondary that is #13 against the pass. Baltimore is home after a rough Monday night game in a 30-23 setback at New England where they were manhandled by the Patriots as the final score was misleading. The Ravens are 4-11-2 ATS when following a straight-up loss and 4-9-2 ATS after a spread loss. Baltimore fell into second place in the AFC North behind the Pittsburgh Steelers. The strength of the Ravens is still the defense, fourth in yards allowed and points. Baltimore is 11-5-1 UNDER the total on fieldturf, as well as 33-16-2 UNDER after getting 250+ yards passing the previous game. Take Philadelphia and the UNDER.