The public is expecting an offensive show, but let's not overlook the importance of defense and the game in the standings. South Florida is tied with one loss with Temple for first place in the AAC East, while Memphis is right behind Navy and Tulsa for first in the AAC West. South Florida is 15-6-1 UNDER the total on the road, plus 11-3-1 UNDER after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Memphis has a good defense at #46 in the nation in yards allowed and points (24.9 points per game). The Tigers are off a win over SMU where they allowed just seven points - the third time this season they've held an opponent under eight points. They also held Temple to just 14 points. South Florida is 8-3-1 UNDER the total on fieldturf and when these teams clash they've gone UNDER in five of the last six meetings, including last year's 24-17 game. Play the UNDER in this one.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on Memphis Tigers on the -7.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 35.6 to 25.9 with Memphis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
CFB Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Memphis Tigers on the -12.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 39.0 to 27.2 with Memphis winning on the moneyline, South Florida winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public bets were on Memphis Tigers on the -17 ATS. 96% of the public money was on Memphis Tigers to win on the moneyline. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 41.4 to 23.0 with Memphis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Memphis Tigers on the -15 ATS. 97% of the public money was on Memphis Tigers to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Memphis would win by a score of 38.4 to 23.2 with Memphis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on South Florida Bulls on the -3 ATS. 56% of the public money was on Memphis Tigers to win on the moneyline. And, 79% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that South Florida would win by a score of 36.7 to 34.1 with South Florida winning on the moneyline, Memphis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.