Louisville is 3-2 on the season, and this team may have tipped its hand as to what to expect from them going forward. They played three games vs. Notre Dame, SMU, and Georgia Tech, and allowed 28 PPG. Their other two games saw them allow 7 PPG. Virginia has done well defensively as well as the Cavs have not allowed more than 30 points to any of their five opponents on the season, and it has led to three of their four games vs FBS opponents to fall UNDER the total. I think Louisville is underrated defensively, as the better teams were able to put up points against them, but not anyone else. Make the play UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
October 12, 2024 3:30pm ET
@
Louisville Cardinals
#139
Virginia Cavaliers
#140
Lines & Odds
-7.5 (-105)
ATS
+7.5 (-115)
-278
Moneyline
+233
OVER 53.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 53.5 (-105)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Louisville Cardinals on the -7.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Louisville would win by a score of 30.9 to 23.3 with Louisville winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on October 08, 2024 at 6:46PM ET.
CFB
Louisville at Virginia
October 12, 2024
3:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Louisville Cardinals 
0
7
10
7
24
Virginia Cavaliers
7
0
6
7
20
CFB Premium Pick Results
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189
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107
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November 9, 2023 7:30pm ET
@
Virginia Cavaliers
#115
Louisville Cardinals
#116
Lines & Odds
+20 (-110)
ATS
-20 (-110)
+784
Moneyline
-1361
OVER 50 (-110)
Total
UNDER 50 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Louisville Cardinals on the -20 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Louisville would win by a score of 37.2 to 15.7 with Louisville winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on November 09, 2023 at 3:47PM ET.
CFB
Virginia at Louisville
November 9, 2023
7:30 PM Eastern
Virginia has covered the spread five games in a row before losing 45-17 to Georgia Tech, which racked up 305 yards rushing. The Cavaliers had lost in overtime to Miami Florida the previous week and that was after they stunned North Carolina 31-27. Now Virginia is getting big points against against Louisville, which is 5-3-1 ATS this season, including its 34-3 rout of Virginia Tech on Saturday. This is a look-ahead spot for the Cardinals who have Miami on deck, and they're playing on a short week. Virginia is 8-0 ATS on the road with revenge versus a team off a double-digit win. Louisville has gone UNDER its past two games by an average of 16.5 points and the Cardinals are 4-1 UNDER their past five games. Six of the past seven meetings have stayed UNDER and Louisville is 5-0 UNDER after winning by at least 20 points and 5-0 UNDER its past five November games. Take the points with Virginia and the UNDER (Max Play).
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Virginia Cavaliers
0
0
21
3
24
Louisville Cardinals
7
7
0
17
31
October 8, 2022 12:00pm ET
@
Louisville Cardinals
#315
Virginia Cavaliers
#316
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-110)
ATS
-1.5 (-110)
-106
Moneyline
-114
OVER 47.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 47.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Louisville Cardinals on the +1.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Virginia would win by a score of 26.6 to 26.3, Louisville winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Louisville Cardinals
0
13
14
7
34
Virginia Cavaliers
10
0
7
0
17
October 9, 2021 3:00pm ET
@
Virginia Cavaliers
#337
Louisville Cardinals
#338
Lines & Odds
+2.5 (-110)
ATS
-2.5 (-110)
+120
Moneyline
-138
OVER 69.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 69.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Louisville Cardinals on the -2.5 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Louisville would win by a score of 34.9 to 32.8 with Louisville winning on the moneyline, Virginia winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Virginia Cavaliers
10
3
0
21
34
Louisville Cardinals
10
0
20
3
33
November 14, 2020 3:30pm ET
@
Louisville Cardinals
#225
Virginia Cavaliers
#226
Lines & Odds
+6 (-105)
ATS
-6 (-115)
+178
Moneyline
-211
OVER 63.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 63.5 (-112)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Virginia Cavaliers on the -6 ATS. 55% of the public money was on Louisville Cardinals to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Louisville would win by a score of 34.2 to 32.7 with Louisville winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Louisville Cardinals
3
7
7
0
17
Virginia Cavaliers
7
7
7
10
31
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