Kentucky has had an impressive start. The Cats are 3-2 on the season, but look what the defense did to two of the top offenses in the country. They held Georgia to 13 points and Ole Miss to 17. Essentially they have proven they can stop any team. The issue is they have managed to score just 38 points in their three SEC games or 12.7 PPG. Vanderbilt scored a season high 40 points against one of the best defenses in the country last week in Alabama. It was just the ninth time in 18 years during the regular season they allowed 40 or more. Vanderbilt should be flat as a pancake this week, while their offense has been noticed by what they did vs. the Tide. I like the UNDER.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Vanderbilt Commodores on the +12.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kentucky would win by a score of 27.5 to 20.2 with Kentucky winning on the moneyline, Vanderbilt winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Final Score
CFB Premium Pick Results
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Kentucky Wildcats on the -13 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kentucky would win by a score of 30.0 to 20.9 with Kentucky winning on the moneyline, Vanderbilt winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Kentucky at Vanderbilt
Kentucky is working in a new quarterback in Devin Leary (8 TDs, 3 INTs), who came over from NC State. They haven't been tested with wins over Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, and Akron. And they had to rally to beat Eastern Kentucky, 28-17, as a 35-point favorite. Kentucky is 4-13 ATS against teams that have 42 or fewer penalty yards per game. Vanderbilt has a fine QB in A.J. Swann (11 TDs, 4 INTs) on an offense averaging 382.3 yards and 30.7 points. Vanderbilt was a +17 dog at Kentucky last year but won the game 24-21, with 448 yards, including 264 rushing. Vandy has won three of its last four home games, including a 31-24 upset of Florida as a +14 dog. Play Vanderbilt.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Kentucky Wildcats on the -17 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kentucky would win by a score of 32.4 to 17.2 with Kentucky winning on the moneyline, Vanderbilt winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Vanderbilt at Kentucky
This will be an easy game for Kentucky to overlook with a home game against Georgia on deck, and the Wildcats have lost three of their past five games and barely got by Missouri 21-17 on Saturday. Will Levis was 13 of 19 for 170 yards and Christopher Rodriguez Jr. ran for 112 yards on 29 carries for the Wildcats, who have averaged only 17.4 points their past five games. That's asking a lot to cover a big number in this matchup with Vanderbilt, which comes off a 38-27 loss to South Carolina. The Commodores did rack up 226 yards on the ground on 41 carries and Re'Mahn Davis had 167 of them on 20 attempts. Vanderbilt has managed to cover three of the past four meetings, including a 38-35 loss in 2020 as a 17-point underdog. The Commodores are 8-2 ATS their past 10 November games and they have covered six of eight road contests. Kentucky is just 6-15 ATS its past 21 against teams with losing records as it looks ahead to next week's game. Take Vanderbilt.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Kentucky Wildcats on the -21.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kentucky would win by a score of 38.7 to 14.1 with Kentucky winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Kentucky at Vanderbilt
Kentucky had high expectations coming into the season, and they've done well (6-2 ATS) in the rugged SEC at 6-3 overall. They're on a three-game skid, losing all three as underdogs at Mississippi State, Tennessee, and No. 1 Georgia, but they catch a break facing an awful Vandy squad. Kentucky's defense is #39 in the country in yards allowed and #41 in points, and the offense is good, averaging 5.0 yards per rush helping junior QB Will Levis (17 TDs, 10 picks). The Wildcats are 15-5 ATS after getting 200+ yards rushing in their last game. By contrast, Vanderbilt is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation, #121 in total yards allowed (463 per game), and #117 in points surrendered (37.1 per game). They're winless in the SEC, and their QBs have more interceptions (11) than TDs (10). Vandy is on a 9-20 spread run, 2-9 ATS at home, and 14-29 ATS at home after allowing 37+ points in the last contest. Play Kentucky.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Kentucky Wildcats on the -17.5 ATS. 92% of the public money was on Kentucky Wildcats to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kentucky would win by a score of 32.0 to 12.0 with Kentucky winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.