Previous Matchups & Picks

December 18, 2010 5:30pm ET
@
Northern Illinois Huskies
Northern Illinois Huskies
#203
Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs
#204

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (-110)
ATS
+1.5 (-110)
-125
Moneyline
+105
OVER 57 (-110)
Total
UNDER 57 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Fresno State Bulldogs on the +1.5 ATS. 57% of the public money was on Fresno State Bulldogs to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Northern Illinois would win by a score of 31.4 to 27.9 with Northern Illinois winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

img CFB

Northern Illinois at Fresno State

December 18, 2010
img5:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Northern Illinois Huskies have made five Bowl appearances in the school's history. The first two turned out great as they won them both. But it's been a Bowl disaster ever since. They have played in three Bowl games over the last five years in which they were outscored 81-20 with the offense managing less than a TD per game on average. Fresno State will be making their 24th Bowl appearance and they stand at 12-11. This will be their 11th Bowl since 1999. Northern Illinois piled up 195 points in the three games proceeding their MAC Championship game, but were limited to 21 at home and lost the Conference title to Miami Ohio. This will be a tough motivational spot for a team that was on a serious roll, but were derailed in their Championship game. Fresno State closed the season with a big straight up win as a TD underdog vs. the Big-10's Illinois and will be the confident inspired team in this one. Coach Hill has covered over 60% of his games vs. non-conference opponents since he has been at Fresno State, spanning 59 games. Teams coming into their Bowl game having lost their last game after winning at least seven in a row prior to that are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine Bowl appearances. The Huskies are just 2-5 straight-up since last season vs. winning teams. My computer matchup favors the Huskies but I like Fresno State here.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Northern Illinois Huskies img
6
17
10
7
40
Fresno State Bulldogs
7
3
0
7
17

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