Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee opened the season wwith three cupcake wins, and did very little for them to prepare for the rigors of play in the rugged SEC. we have already seen Ole Miss, Tennessee, Alabama, and Georgia fall. Tennessee averaged 63.7 PPG in their first three games vs. a bunch of bad teams, but reality check. They have scored just 39 points in their last two games. The Tennessee defense has locked down all five opponents with none of them scoring more than 19 points, and the defense is alloing a very stingy 9.4 PPG. I like the UNDER.

This is a revenge game for Florida as it lost last year's meeting 38-33 after beating the Volunteers the five previous meetings. The Gators bounced back from an opening loss to Utah and routed McNeese 49-7 with Graham Mertz completing 14 of 17 for 193 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions against the Cowboys. Montrell Johnson Jr. ran for 119 yards on 7.9 per carry and Ricky Pearsall caught six passes for 123 yards and a touchdown. The total pushed and the Gators are 4-1-1 UNDER their past six games. Tennessee went UNDER by 23.5 points in its 30-13 win over Austin Peay and Joe Milton III finished 21 of 33 for 228 yards and two TDs. Jaylen Wright rushed for 118 yards on 9.1 per carry. Florida has gone UNDER four straight after scoring at least 40 points its previous game. Florida coach Billy Napier is 17-7 ATS as an underdog. Take the points with Florida, and grab the UNDER as a Max Play.

Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start in Josh Heupel's second year as coach and the Volunteers buried Akron 63-6 on Saturday. So far this season they have allowed an average of only 14.3 points per game. Hendon Hooker had 298 yards passing on 14 of 18 with two touchdowns and no interceptions and Jalin Hyatt had five catches for 166 yards and two TDs for the Volunteers, who had 165 first-half rushing yards against the Zips, who trailed 35-0 at halftime. Florida was a 23-point favorite against South Florida, but escaped with a 31-28 win and QB Anthony Richardson has been struggling and hasn't thrown a touchdown pass this season. The Gators yielded 300 rushing yards against the Bulls, who ran it 45 times. Florida has been a money burner the last couple seasons as it is 5-16-1 ATS its past 22 games overall and 3-12-1 ATS after a win. The Gators are 0-8 ATS their last eight road games and they have gone UNDER six of eight conference games. Also, Florida is 5-0 UNDER versus teams with winning records and Tennessee is 8-3 UNDER after giving up fewer than 20 points its previous game. Four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER. Play Tennessee and the UNDER.