Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Miami Ohio RedHawks

The Eastern Michigan program started playing in the FBS in 2006, and in their first 10 years they went a ridiculous 23-97. Chris Creighton took over the program in 2014, and he has done a respectable job here. He has led Eastern Michigan to five Bowl games, which is a huge jump from where this team was before him. His teams typically overachieve, and taking him when posted as a dog has been money. Creighton, in games he has coached at Eastern Michigan, is 48-31-4 ATS, and when he is not an excessive dog, and posted at 19 or fewer points, his team is 42-21-3 ATS. (3-1 ATS as a dog to Miami, O). Miami, O. was 11-4 last year, but lost most of their great defense. The Red Birds offense is brutal as they have averaged just 13.6 PPG. I like Eastern Michigan.

At 2-6, the Miami, Ohio. Red Hawks don't seem to me a match for the upstart 5-3 Eestern Michigan Eagles. The Eagles have had a breakout season at 5-3 and gave Western Michigan, who is unbeaten, a good game last time out. This is an entirely different place for Eastern Michigan, who has not been favored by this many points but once since 2000 in a conference game, which is 16 years! The history of this team shows they have been a favorite just 37 times, and are 13-24 ATS. These teams are just 0.2 yards apart from the line of scrimmage in total, and the strength of schedule for these teams is also pretty even. I think this line is being driven by the records, not the talent on the teams as things look a lot closer to me. Make the play on Miami, Ohio.

This one is going to be an ugly game as 1-8 Eastern Michigan, and Miami, Ohio square off. These teams both opened the season at 1-0, but they have followed an identical path, with both coming in on eight-game losing streaks. Miami, Ohio is arguably the worst offense in NCAAF, as they have seen six games where they did not top the 14-point mark. Eastern Michigan has been the doormat of the MAC for years and has a longterm average in points, hovering around 20. Another factor here is this game could become a turnover fest, as these teams have committed 37 turnovers combined on the season. I think the turnovers are going to not only play a role in who wins, but is going to be taking points off the scoreboard. Miami, Ohio owns a 19-7 mark to the UNDER in their last 26 vs. a losing team. Play on the UNDER.