Alabama keeps rolling and the public keeps piling on (83% backing them this week). We faded the Tide two weeks ago vs. Arkansas and will do so again here. They stayed clean with an apparent easy win over the Gators last week 31-6, so the coast is clear with two big hurdles passed in Arkansas and Florida right? Not so fast. This is a good spot for the Gamecocks, with nothing to lose. They catch the Tide after a huge emotional home game that looked good on the scoreboard, but not otherwise. Alabama was outgained by the Gators despite a 25-point win, and vs. Arkansas they were matched yard for yard before barely escaping with the win. The public sees a team that just can't lose, but there are some chinks in that armour. Those two wins have left the Tide feeling good, but looking vulnerable. Can Spurrier's boys get the job done at home? It will be a tall task but the Gamecocks are 13-3 straight-up in their last 16 at home and since September of '06 and have lost by more than 7 here just once, and that was a 10-point loss. So, they have stood toe-to-toe with the best the SEC has to offer, failing against the number here just one time in five years. South Carolina has had two weeks to prepare for the Crimson Tide, and have only failed to cover one of their last six after a bye week. Alabama is coming off of two physically and emotionally draining games, and could be in for the fight of their lives to retain the No. 1 perch. South Carolina keeps it interesting.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Alabama Crimson Tide on the -21.5 ATS. And, 78% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Alabama would win by a score of 33.7 to 21.0 with Alabama winning on the moneyline, South Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
CFB Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Alabama Crimson Tide on the -26 ATS. 96% of the public money was on Alabama Crimson Tide to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Alabama would win by a score of 41.8 to 21.4 with Alabama winning on the moneyline, South Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public bets were on Alabama Crimson Tide on the -7 ATS. 80% of the public money was on Alabama Crimson Tide to win on the moneyline. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Alabama would win by a score of 28.2 to 18.6 with Alabama winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
Alabama at South Carolina
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Alabama Crimson Tide on the -17.5 ATS. 71% of the public money was on Alabama Crimson Tide to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Alabama would win by a score of 30.6 to 15.4 with Alabama winning on the moneyline, South Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.