Washington at New York

You need defense to contend in the playoffs and Washington has it, second in the WNBA in points allowed. The unselfish offense is third in assists too. The Mystics have an All-Star frontcourt of Emma Meesseman and Stefanie Dolson. Washington is 6-2 ATS against a team with a winning record, and a strong bounce-back team at 5-1 ATS following a spread loss. The New York Liberty earned the #1 overall seed, but struggled matchup-wise against the Mystics, dropping three of the four meetings in the regular season. New York went 12-5 at home this season but two of those losses came to Washington. The Mystics were stronger defensively in the head-to-head matchups, holding the Liberty to an average of 63.8 points while they scored 74.8 per game. New York is on a 1-5 ATS run, 0-4 ATS at home, and 0-5 ATS against the Eastern Conference and this shapes up as a close one, to take the points on Washington.