Washington at Connecticut

The Mystics are 3-0 and Connecticut just 1-1. So why are the Sun favored here? Because in the WNBA, the home court makes a world of difference. Washington should be drinking some of their own koolaid right about now and I think they get theirs in this game. The fact is, their stats are about average and they have benefited from two home games. At home this season, the Sun are 1-0 having won by 13 points. You can bet Connecticut will show up here. They can either go to 2-1 or 1-2 which is a huge difference. And, they are coming off a huge double-digit loss last game. They will be ready. Washington is just 8-19 ATS the past three seasons off a win (4-13 off a home win). Look for the Sun to roll here. I also like the OVER in this game. Both teams have shown they can score with Washington averaging 79 points per game and Connecticut 78 per game. The past two seasons, the Mystics are 9-2 OVER when coming off a home win. They are a perfect 7-0 OVER the past three seasons when coming off a double-digit home win. Connecticut is 11-2 OVER the past two seasons after a road loss and they are 9-1 OVER after a game in which they allowed 90+ points. Take the Sun and the OVER in this one.