Washington at Connecticut

The first-place Washington Mystics have plenty of offensive punch behind newcomer Elena Delle Donne. They face a weak Connecticut defense that allows 81.3 points per game, and Washington is 28-12 ATS when they score 78 points or more in a game. They are also 20-10 OVER the total when hitting 78+ points. Washington is off a loss at Phoenix, 88-80, and underdogs off a road loss against opponent off a road win where they scored 85 points or more are 44-15 ATS. Connecticut lost Chiney Ogwumike for the year to an Achilles tendon injury. They come off a blowout win over the lowly San Antonio Spurs but WNBA home favorites off a road win where they scored 85+ points are 21-51 ATS. Connecticut is also on an 8-2 run OVER the total with that suspect defense, as well as 23-9 OVER after a victory, so back the first-place dog in an offensive show. Take Washington and the OVER.