Tulsa at Phoenix

Tulsa heads out on the road for this playoff series. You need defense this time of the season and Tulsa doesn't have it at #10 in the WNBA in points allowed, and second-worst in field goal shooting defense. The offense is fine, but would be better if they had Skylar Diggins, whose season-ending knee injury knocked the Shock for a loop. They face a Phoenix team that is 13-4 at home. Phoenix is used to winning, in the playoffs for the sixth time in the past seven seasons, and finished with the second-best record in the Western Conference, as well as third-best in the league. Brittney Griner averaged 8.1 rebounds and is a force in the low post. Phoenix won the WNBA title last year and is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven Conference Semifinals games. The Mercury are 10-1 straight-up against Tulsa at home since 2010. With the Tulsa Shock just 1-3-2 ATS in the last six meetings at Phoenix, grab the champs at home.