Tulsa at Atlanta

Tulsa has dropped five in a row - all by double digits. So, no one wants a piece of them here. Except me. This is simply too many points to lay on an Atlanta team that has allowed over 82 points per game on the season and 87 per game over their last five. Winning home favorites of 10+ points are just 12-35 ATS the past five seasons when facing a losing team. Why? Over confidence? Letdown? Inflated line? Probably a combination of all of the above. I like Tulsa plus the generous points here.