Tulsa at Atlanta

Despite no wins on the road Tulsa has plenty of offense, averaging 77 points per game. They are riding a 2-1 ATS run including a home win over Chicago as a dog and a loss to the powerhouse  Connecticut Sun, 82-80, as a +14 dog. Those were back-to-back OT games as underdogs. The Shock is 6-2 ATS in their last eight against the Eastern Conference, plus 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games when playing on two days of rest. Tulsa is also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a spread loss, as well as 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog of +11 or greater. They are a big dog again to an Atlanta team that is just .500 on the year (12-12). Atlanta is just 6-5 straight up at home and for the season is outscoring opponents by just 1 point per contest. Look for the offensive Tulsa squad to keep this closer than the oddsmakers expect. Play the Tulsa Shock. In addition, look for a high-scoring contest. Tulsa has plenty of offense and the OVER is 4-1 in the Shock's last five games when playing on two days of rest. Their defense is suspect, and in their last game San Antonio outscored Tulsa 47-25 in the second and third quarters. And when they lost in OT two games ago, Tulsa set a season-high by shooting 87.5 percent from the free-throw line, so they can get points in a variety of ways. Atlanta can, as well, with the Dream on a 5-1 run OVER the total, and 4-1 OVER in the Dream's last five games as a favorite. When these teams meet, the OVER is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings, including 5-2 OVER in the last seven meetings in Atlanta. Play on Tulsa and take the OVER.