San Antonio at Minnesota

Neither of these teams can play defense but I believe Minnesota has a strong motivation edge in this game. The last time these teams met in this building, San Antonio delivered an upset win over the Lynx. You can bet Minnesota players remember that and will be fighting hard to make sure that doesn't repeat here. Teams revenging a loss, coming off a big home win have hit at a 68% clip ATS. When San Antonio has won two of their last three games, they are a great fade (0-7 ATS this season). They are also 3-15 ATS this season when coming off a win over a division rival, as they are here. And, when coming off a home win in which they scored 85+ points, they are 1-8 ATS the past three seasons. In fact, over the past two seasons, the Stars are just 5-20 ATS when coming off a win of any kind. I like Minnesota here.