San Antonio at Los Angeles

San Antonio is a big dog but plays good defense, preferring a slower pace while ranking fourth in the WNBA in points allowed. That defense shined the last game in a 71-67 victory at Atlanta as a +8.5 dog allowing 30.7% shooting, including holding the Dream to 2-for-18 from three-point land. They covered as a +13 dog in their previous game against powerhouse Minnesota, allowing 81 points -- 4.6 points below the Lynx's season average. Los Angeles had a dominant first half but has been erratic in the second half, losing 7 of 12. They've lost three of the last four despite being favored in all of them. L.A. has also been overrated by oddsmakers, on a 3-10 spread run. The Sparks have been resting players down the stretch, including a pair of starters in a 78-60 loss to the Seattle Storm two games ago as a favorite. The Sparks are on a 19-43-1 ATS run at home while the Stars are 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, so back the big dog. Play San Antonio.