San Antonio at Indiana

The San Antonio Silver Stars have played well above the line entering this game as they own a 10-3 ATS mark on the season. They have been good on offense, having scored 80 points or more in six of their last seven contests. I think the offense is going to struggle against a very good Indiana defense that can also score. The Fever was a 6-point favorite at home to a much better Connecticut team, and held them to 61 points in a blowout win. I don't think the difference between San Antonio and Connecticut is just a single point, which is what oddsmakers are saying here. The Fever take care of business at home as a favorite where they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26, as well as 11-1 ATS as a favorite of -5 to -10.5 on their home court in their last 12 regular season games. They have a margin of 17.3 points per game in the 11 wins, and have averaged 87 ppg in the last 10 in this scenario. Play on Indiana.