San Antonio at Atlanta

San Antonio is undervalued, covering five of the last eight as part of a 9-3 ATS run against the Eastern Conference. San Antonio is a big dog again, but prefers a slower pace, ranked fifth in the WNBA in points allowed. They come off an 81-76 loss to first-place Minnesota as a +13 dog, and the team is 13-5 ATS when following a straight-up loss. Moriah Jefferson, the Stars' second-leading scorer is averaging 13.5 points per game, and put up 26 points and eight assists in the losing effort. Atlanta is one game over .500 for the season, seventh in the league in scoring, #12 in assists and eighth in points allowed. The Dream will be without its leading scorer Angel McCoughtry (19.2 points, 5.7 rebounds per game) this week. McCoughtry was suspended by the WNBA on Monday for one game after receiving her seventh technical foul of the season. The two meetings this season have been close, with Atlanta winning in OT and San Antonio winning the rematch, 73-69, on June 25. Take the points on San Antonio.