Sacramento at San Antonio

San Antonio takes a 1-0 lead home in this series where they have been a very impressive 15-2 on the season. That stat alone is going to inflate the price of this game in order to get action on Sacramento. That puts value on the other side, and the public is behind the Silver Stars and their impressive home dominance at about a 65% rate. A closer look at the numbers reveals a different story. Yes, the Stars have been winning at home, but nine of their last 11 home wins, and 11 of their last 13 home games overall, they would have failed to cover 8.5! The Monarchs have only dropped three of their last 14 by a margin of 8+. This one has an inflated look to it, and the reality shows there is a lot of value on the Monarchs here to stay within the inflated number, I'll take the points here.