Phoenix at Washington

The Phoenix Mercury were immediately elevated to contender status when they drafted Britney Griner. While she has played well, she certainly hasn't dominated in the way most would have thought, and averages just 6.5 rebounds per game. Phoenix has always been about offense, and with Diana Turasi healthy and averaging a league best 23.9 points per game, they have gotten the running game going again. The Mercury have gone for 82 points or more in five of their last six games. Washington won all of five games a year ago, but this team is vastly improved. This season, they are just one win shy of that total through eight games with a respectable 4-4 mark, despite playing just three at home. The offense has really improved and is up 8 ppg from a year ago. Phoenix is going to come in here running, and Washington is no longer shy about getting up and down the court. Phoenix is just 15-36 ATS in their last 51 games, and the upstart Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last six . Phoenix is on a 10-1 run to the OVER when they are off an ATS win, and the OVER has produced a 9-3 mark in the last 12 meetings, as well as four of the last five played here. Phoenix was expected to be better, but Washington still lies under the radar and has lost just one time here. Go with Washington on the moneyline and the OVER.