Phoenix at Seattle

This is a winner-take-all Game 5...and Seattle is the #1 seed with the all important home court. Phoenix has been playing catch-up all series, coming from a 17-point deficit Sunday to defeat the Storm 86-84. But their run ends here on the road. Phoenix just won two in a row but both were at home. They lost the first two games of this series at Seattle, giving up 91 points each time. Phoenix was #10 in rebounding during the regular season, seventh in points allowed with the fifth most turnovers. Meanwhile, Seattle outscored opponents by +7.6 points per game this season, tops in the WNBA. Seattle was second in scoring (87.2 points per game), fifth in rebounding and points allowed. Seattle lost both games in Phoenix in this series, the first time all season they've lost two in a row. The Storm gets good news for this one as point guard Sue Bird will play with a face mask to protect the broken nose she suffered Sunday. Seattle is on a 15-7-1 spread run, including 5-0 ATS after a defeat and 9-4-1 ATS when following a spread cover, so back the better team with home court and take Seattle.