Phoenix Mercury at Seattle Storm

Yes, Seattle is 6-3 while Phoenix is just 2-4. But, we like Phoenix here on the road thanks to their offense. They are pouring in 86.5 per game which is 15 ppg higher than what Seattle averages. Yes, the Phoenix defense is bad, but we believe they can simply outscore the Storm. Seattle has lost three of their last four ATS while Phoenix has won two straight. Phoenix is 23-12 ATS as an underdog the past three seasons including 10-2 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points! Mercury here. We are also going to take the OVER in this one given that we think Phoenix is going to control the tempo. The Mercury are 13-4 OVER revenging a loss as a favorite the past three seasons and we see them scoring alot here - enough to push this over.