This pick was released to clients on August 31, 2014 at 10:23AM ET.
img WNBA

Phoenix at Minnesota

August 31, 2014
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

First place Phoenix knows about winning and defense, winning eight of their last 10. They are second in the WNBA in points allowed and tops in scoring. That defense held Maya Moore to 3-of-9 shooting the last game in a win for Phoenix, the first time all season Moore has been held to single-digits in scoring. Phoenix is 15-6 ATS after a win, and they won the rebounding battle by 14 in Game 1 against Minnesota. They can turn up the defense against good teams, with Phoenix 9-2 UNDER the total against a team with a winning record, and 15-7-1 UNDER playing on one days rest. Minnesota has not been playing well, on a 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS run. Minnesota is 2-7 ATS against a team with a winning record. They will turn to defense and a slower pace, 8-2 UNDER the total against a team with a winning record and 5-1 UNDER after a defeat. They are also 4-0 UNDER the total in Western Conference Finals games. And when these rivals meet, the UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, including 5-0 UNDER here in Minnesota. Play Phoenix and Phoenix/Minnesota UNDER the Total.

1.5 units on Phoenix +2.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 160.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
22
22
18
15
77
Minnesota Lynx img
9
27
20
26
82
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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