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Phoenix at Indiana

October 4, 2009
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This has all the makings of a close series and game, given how the series has gone thus far. Indiana stole one in Phoenix, giving them a big advantage going forward. If they win the next two games, both at home, this series is done. After losing the highest-scoring game in league history in game one, Indiana came back in game two behind Tamika Catchings who was one rebound short of recording the first-ever triple-double in WNBA Finals history. That win gave the Fever a lot of confidence and I think that carries over into this game at home. It's tough to win on the road in the WNBA, especially vs. another top-caliber team. The fact that Indiana was able to do that says volumes. Indiana is 17-3 this season here at home and while it may be close, I don't see them losing and giving back the home-court advantage. Phoenix can certainly score, but that's ok given that Indiana is 21-10 this season vs. high scoring teams that average 73+ ppg including 9-2 vs. teams that shoot 44% or higher. They are also 8-1 this season after allowing 75+ points in back-to-back games. I like the Fever to win this game.

2 units on Indiana -150 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
17
30
20
18
85
Indiana Fever img
24
20
26
16
86
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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