Phoenix at Connecticut

Phoenix games average 178 ppg which is exactly where this total is set. But, that's too low considering who they are facing. Connecticut averages 85.1 per game at home while allowing 77. And over their past five games, both of these teams are really seeing the scoreboard shine. Connecticut has allowed nearly 80 ppg over that span while Phoenix games have averaged 187 ppg over the last five! Phoenix is 22-12 OVER the past two seasons vs. bad defensive teams (those allowing 73+ ppg). We like this one to sail OVER.