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Phoenix at Atlanta

July 1, 2008
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Just like the temperature rises in Phoenix come summertime, so too has the offensive output of the Mercury. This is a team that has produced 102 points against Connecticut and 94 aginst LA. Lately the points are coming faster, and faster as this team begins to perfect the running game. The problem is that the points scored by their opponent have been very high as well. They just simply play to outscore their opponent. The lowest output they have allowed on the season is 79. So now it's off to Atlanta who has averaged over 100 points a game in their last two, but has also allowed over 100 points a game as well. Although an adjustment has been made with this one slated by oddsmakers to be played in the low 180s, we don't feel like it is enough, and this one could should see Phoenix topping the 100 mark. With Atlanta scoring well lately and facing no defense at home coupled with the Mercury holding no one under 80 points, the OVER becomes the valued choice here.

3 units on Game Total OVER 182 -105 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Phoenix Mercury
25
33
17
22
97
Atlanta Dream
25
9
26
19
79
odds odds
 
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