New York at Washington

The New York Liberty are sixth in the league in points allowed, but are not getting any respect from oddsmakers as a big dog here. New York is 44-27 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, while WNBA road dogs are 70-36 ATS after 3+ straight defeats. The Liberty are also 9-4 ATS when working on one day of rest, as well as an 8-3 ATS run against the Eastern Conference. They face a Washington squad that is just 4-4 SU/ATS the last eight games and is below average defensively, seventh in points allowed. They are outscoring teams by just +3 points per game. The Mystics have been a favorite of 8+ points three times this season and are 1-2 against the spread, beating Vegas (75-70) as an 18-point favorite and topping Indiana (82-75) as 12-point chalk. Washington is just 3-8 ATS when playing on one day of rest. The Liberty have covered six of the last seven games at Washington and the home team is vastly overvalued again. Play New York.