This pick was released to clients on July 03, 2022 at 12:41PM ET.
img WNBA

New York at Los Angeles

July 3, 2016
img5:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a battle of first-place teams, and New York is getting little respect with this betting number. The Liberty have won eight of 10 games with great balance, fifth in the WNBA in scoring, tops in rebounding, third in assists, and points allowed. Forward Tina Charles is averaging a WNBA-best 22.8 points per game. New York has won both games on this road trip, including a 95-92 upset at Minnesota as a +13.5 dog. They've also won six in a row on the road and is 8-1 straight up this season away from home. The Liberty are also 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 road games. Liberty guard Sugar Rodgers averages 16.4 points and has scored at least 22 points in three consecutive games while making a league-high 50 three-pointers. They have a rematch with Los Angeles, the one team the Liberty haven't beaten this season. That included a 79-72 game in overtime at Madison Square Garden on May 21. Los Angeles has been overvalued after that hot start, failing to cover five of the last six, and the Sparks are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. These are two of the top three defensive teams in the league, and the UNDER is 8-2 when the Sparks face a team with a winning record. New York is 17-8 ATS when these teams clash, 13-3 at Los Angeles, and the UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. New York matches up well under the glass and has more than enough to keep this defensive battle close, or even steal a win. Play New York ATS, on the Moneyline, and UNDER the total.

2 units on New York +9 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on New York +360 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 2.3)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 161.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New York Liberty
21
17
14
15
67
Los Angeles Sparks img
25
19
14
19
77
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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