New York at Indiana

The Liberty are bad on the road, especially defensively. This team has posted an 8-3 OVER mark in road games thanks to allowing 82.4 per game. Given that the Fever average 80 per game at home, this one sets up very nicely for the OVER. This season, New York is 9-2 OVER when they allow 78+ points. Indiana is 10-2 OVER this season when they score 78 or more. It seems very unlikely that the Fever fail to reach that 78-point mark, so I like the OVER in this game.