New York at Connecticut

The New York Liberty will come into this game at 25-7, ranked as the #2 seed in the playoff picture. Connecticut is 23-10, just 2.5 games back. These teams combine to average 171 total points a game. I think this game is going to be up and down the court, and see both teams get into the 80s. New York hasn't played to this low of a total in 15 games. The Liberty offense is clicking, averaging 88.5 PPG in their last five. The Sun is coming off of their lowest point total in 13 games, and I think that has played in this total getting shaved a few points. I think these teams are going to try and get out early, and take the mental advantage in the game. Home teams that play to a total of 70.5 or higher late in the season (July, and August games), are 154-91 to the first-half OVER. Home teams where the first-half total is greater than 65.5 are an amazing 104-49 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better during the past five seasons. Play the first-half OVER, take the Sun ATS for the full game, and play this game to OVER.