New York at Chicago

The Chicago Sky looks to be an improved team, but I think the oddsmakers are a bit too bullish on them in this spot. Last year they were 2-6 as a favorite of -3 or more, and this New York team turned the corner after a 4-7 start a year ago to finish 17-3 in the regular season. They are off a bad loss vs. a desperate Atlanta team that was 0-3, but much better than that. Those elements come into play here as an overlay on the Chicago side. The Liberty is getting it done on the road where they are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 road games. I like New York in a big bounce-back situation in this one.