The Dream have lost four straight and desperately need to right the ship. What attribute did those four losses share? They were all on the road where Atlanta is just 6-7 on the season. At home, this team is a very tough, having posted an 8-2 record and scoring 87 ppg. After dropping four in a row, you can bet this team will be focused on notching the win here. While I am not sure they will cover this 4.5 point spread vs. a New York club that is 7-4 ATS on the road, I do think the Dream get the outright win. There are two very strong motivators for Atlanta here. In addition to breaking their 4-game losing streak, they were embarrassed last game losing by 10 points. And, they were embarrassed last time they faced the Liberty losing 79-91. Winning favorites that are coming off a double-digit loss to a division rival and are now facing another winning team are 28-1 straight up the past five WNBA seasons. In addition, home favorites that are revenging a loss in which they gave up 85+ points when coming off a double-digit loss are 34-1 the past five seasons. I like the Dream on the moneyline a lot here.
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