Minnesota at Seattle

Minnesota has dropped seven in a row in this building but they have a fighting chance tonight. The Storm will be without their leading scorer, Lauren Jackson for this one. If she does play, she'll be hobbled (Achilles injury). After a shaky start, Minnesota has won five of their last eight. Seattle has lost four of their last seven. Minnesota is actually better on the road this season (4-2 SU and ATS) than at home (5-4). In June, the Storm dominated the Lynx, winning 90-62. Combined with the importance of this game in the standings, the Lynx have a lot of motivation here. They are 13-3 ATS lifetime revenging a 20+ point blowout loss. They are also 9-2 ATS the past two seasons coming off a home loss as they are today. I like Minnesota plus the points. I also like the OVER here. Minnesota games are averaging a ridiculous 165 points per game this season (nearly 169 on the road). They get teams into run-and-gun games. Over the past three seasons, the Lynx are 23-11 OVER vs. winning teams. When facing high-scoring teams (73+ ppg) in the second half of the season, they are 22-7 OVER during that span and 18-4 OVER vs. teams that hit 76%+ from the line. The Lynx have gone OVER in all six of their road games this season and 10-1 OVER the past two seasons when revenging a loss in which they gave up 85+ points. They are also 10-1 OVER dating back to last season when coming off a home loss. I like this one to go OVER.