Minnesota at Indiana

Seimone Augustus is the only returning player from the 2007 Lynx team as this team has gone through wholesale changes. We were on the OVER in their opener and the scoring didn't disappoint as the Lynx put up 102 points and the game sailed OVER the total. Today I'm going opposite as I think Minnesota struggles much more to score. Let's not forget they were just 16-18 last year, bottom-dwelling in the conference. Indiana lost their opener by one point thanks to 37.7% shooting. That game resulted in 173 points but that's thanks to two overtime periods. Indiana wants this one for two reasons. One, they really don't want to start off the season 0-2 and will work hard to avoid that. Two, they were beaten in both meetings vs. Minnesota last season so they have the extra motivation of revenge. With the home court advantage and much more experience, they should be able to pull it off. WNBA favorites that allowed 80+ points last game facing a team that scored 80+ last game hit at a 70% mark against the spread. Over the past three seasons, when the Lynx are coming off a game in which they shot 50%+ from the field, they are 0-7 ATS in their next game. They were also 1-9 ATS last season following a double-digit win. I like Indiana to win handily here. I also like the UNDER. Indiana is 120-8 UNDER in franchise history after allowing 75+ points. Both of these teams are off very high-scoring games but I like this one to go the opposite direction. I like the Fever and the UNDER.