Minnesota at Connecticut

Minnesota opens the playoffs on the road and is not a strong defensive team. They allowed the second-most points during the regular season (85 per game) and are 29-16 OVER the total as an underdog. The Lynx defense allows 44.6% field goal shooting, 35.7% on 3-point shooting, and ranks 10th in surrendering assists to opponents. Minnesota is also 24-13 OVER the total versus winning teams and 40-25 OVER against teams that attempt 16 or more treys per game. Connecticut is fourth in the league in points scored (82.7 ppg), third in shooting (44.5%), third in assists, and fourth from 3-point land (36%). Connecticut is 12-5 OVER the total at home against teams that take 16+ treys per game, plus 12-5 OVER at home versus opponents who average 73+ points. Take Minnesota/Connecticut OVER the total.