Minnesota at Atlanta

It's hard to win on the road in the WNBA. NBA favorites win 66% of the time while WNBA favorites only win 63% of the time. Narrow that to small road favorites (under seven points), and the NBA percentage tops 62% while in the WNBA, it drops to 58%! In those games, the WNBA home dogs cover 53% of the time across a large sample. Minnesota owns a losing road record ATS and they have been outscored on the season away from home. Dating back to last season, the Dream are 20-7 ATS vs. winning teams and 29-16 ATS vs. up-tempo teams like the Lynx (teams averaging 62+ shots per game) and 25-14 ATS vs. teams like Minnesota that average 77+ points per game. Take the home dog. Also back the UNDER. Neither of these teams score a lot. When facing a losing team on the road the past two seasons, the Lynx are 9-2 to the UNDER. They are also 12-4 UNDER over that span vs. up-tempo teams. On the road in all games over that span, Minnesota is 19-6 to the UNDER and if the total is 150 or more as it is here, they are 19-4 UNDER! Take Atlanta and the UNDER.