Los Angeles at Sacramento

These two teams have been great over the past decade, making it to the palyoffs with regularity. That was then - this is now. In 2009, these are the worst two teams in the league. I'm backing the second worst team, getting points, in this one. The Monarchs are 6-13 ATS overall and 3-10 ATS against division opponents this season yet they are favored. One of the few things that LA does well is rebound (averaging 45 per game). Sacramento is 0-7 ATS this season against teams that average 42+ boards per game. Sacramento is off a game in which they scored 101 and they are 0-7 ATS this season after scorign 80+ in their last game. They gave up 93 points in that game which can't inspire confidence. I like the Sparks here. I also like the OVER. The last Monarchs game reached 194 points. Their home games have averaged over 160 points per game. Their last five games have averaged even higher. The Sparks have averaged 152 points in their last five games and in eight division games, the average has reached 155.4 per game. All numbers point north here. In addition, when coming off three straight OVERs, the Monarchs are 17-6 OVER at home. They are also 9-2 OVER the past two seasons after allowing 70+ points in four straight games. LA and the OVER here.