Los Angeles at New York

This is a long road trip for Los Angeles, a 3,000 mile trek to start of a three-game run. Los Angeles ends the regular season with five out of its last six games on the road. The Sparks are 0-8 ATS when following a victory, as well as 1-4 ATS against the Eastern Conference. Los Angeles is winning but overvalued by oddsmakers on a 5-10 spread run, and here they are a big road favorite. They've failed to cover three in a row as a favorite of eight or more, including a straight-up loss to Indiana at home as -13.5 chalk and a 73-72 loss to Connecticut as a nine-point favorite. New York is fourth in the league in assists and home for the third straight game, making this a great situational spot for the big home dog. The Liberty average seven three-pointers per game and that spells possible trouble for LA as nine of the Sparks' 11 losses this season have come from teams that make 5+ long-balls per game. And since the mid-way point in the season, Los Angeles is just 6-8 straight-up vs. teams like NY that score 73+ points per game. Play New York against the spread and also take a flyer on them to win straight-up.