Los Angeles at Indiana

Los Angeles has won four in a row, but let's not get overly excited. If we go back another three games they are 4-3 in their last seven. And, they face a tough task here as the Sparks have lost five straight to Indiana in this building. Three of LA's recent wins were at home. Their only road win came as an -8.5 point favorite over lowly Phoenix. On the road, LA has trouble defensively, allowing 85.7 per game (vs. 72.7 at home). Indiana is hot themselves, having won five of their last seven. Their specialty is from beyond the arc where they take 21 attempts, hitting a ridiculous 42%. That spells trouble for the Sparks who are just 8-19 ATS the past three seasons vs. good 3-point shooting teams (teams hitting 36%+ from beyond the arc). While Indiana's defense is suspect, no matter, LA is only 11-23 ATS the past two seasons vs. teams that allow 73+ points per game. Meanwhile, the Sparks are 5-13 ATS vs. teams that can score (those averaging 73+ points per game). Finally, as a small road dog of under +7 points the past two seasons, LA is 1-8 ATS. This is simply a bad matchup for the Sparks. Lay the points with the Fever. Also take the UNDER. Yes, both of these teams can score and neither is great defensively, but this total is just too high. Indiana games average 156 per game while LA's average 162 so this number eclipses both averages as the linesmakers juice the line knowing which way bettors are going to want to go in this one. Following a game in which they scored 75+ points, Los Angeles is 71-47 to the UNDER. And, they are 83-49 UNDER when facing a good team (one that outscores their opponents by 3+ ppg). At home after a game that eclipsed 165 points, the Fever are 10-2 UNDER the past three seasons. Take Indiana and the UNDER here.