Los Angeles at Connecticut

Los Angeles has covered three of five. They're an up-and-coming team with several key additions from a year ago. Dearica Hamby (19 ppg, 11.1 rpg) and 6-2 rookie Rickea Jackson (10.2 ppg) have been strong in the low post along with 6-4 Cameron Brink (8.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg), the second overall pick. Guard Lexie Brown (8.6 ppg) is healthy and is joined by newcomer Kia Nurse (9.3 ppg), acquired in a trade with Seattle in January. Los Angeles is 82-48 UNDER the total against teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points per game and 21-10 UNDER after scoring 70+ points in two straight contests. The team is sixth in the WNBA in rebounding and 67-38 UNDER the total versus teams with winning percentages of 75%+, plus 26-16 UNDER against opponents who attempt 16 or more treys per contest. Connecticut has a long road trip to Las Vegas after this game. They're a huge favorite but are 11th in the 12-team WNBA in 3-point shooting (30%) and 10th from the free-throw line (77%). Connecticut is 6-15 ATS at home after a double-digit victory, including 4-14 ATS after a win by 15+ points. And WNBA double-digit home favorites after covering four or five of their last six are 9-33 ATS when working with two days rest. For my WNBA GOY, take the points with Los Angeles, and play this game UNDER the total.