Los Angeles at Connecticut

The Sparks again have the services of last year's all-everything Candace Parker, but it is pretty clear she isn't ready at this stage to provide the same caliber of play she did a year ago. But, her presence influences this line (unjustly). Parker has played in three games and is contributing just 5 points per game, despite 22 minutes per game on the floor. The Sparks are just 1-6 on the road and they have not been playing in tight games, as they are losing by 9 points per game in the seven road contests. The Sun missed 10 straight fourth-quarter shots against the Shock to let one slip away in their last outing, but have certainly gotten it done vs. the Sparks, as they have won four of their last five at home in this series. The Sun have followed a straight up loss with a 4-1 ATS mark in their last five games, and the Sparks are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. I like the Sun to get it done here. I also like the OVER. Every team in the league is averaging 70+ points a game and in four of the last six played in Connecticut, the winner averaged 85 points per game. The Sparks have played their last six games vs. a team with a losing record to the OVER and Connecticut has gone four straight to the OVER following a straight up loss. Over the past three seasons, when coming off a close loss by 3 points or less, the Sun are 8-1 OVER in their next game. I like Connecticut and the OVER in this one.