Los Angeles at Atlanta

Four days ago the Dream hosted lowly Tulsa, laying 11.5 points. We loaded up on Tulsa and got the win as Atlanta won by only 6 points. Here we have a very similar situation and again I love the underdog getting a boatload of points. This seems like an easy pick on Atlanta who blew out the Sparks by 19 points the last time they met. In that game, LA had Candace Parker and in this one they won't. So this must be another easy double-digit win for LA, right? Not so fast. Atlanta may be thinking the same thing and you know what that means - letdown. Meanwhile, LA players are arching their backs, ready to atone for their most embarrassing loss of the season. It was the only game the Sparks have allowed 100+ in all season and you can bet they have had this game circled since. The Sparks have another reason to show up here - they are a couple of wins away from second place. The problem with Atlanta laying this many points is that their defense just doesn't justify it. Atlanta is allowing 83 points per game on the season, and nearly 90 their last five games. The Sparks are 32-14 ATS revenging a loss the past three seasons (14-5 ATS the past two seasons revenging a same-season loss). I like a motivated LA team here getting a lot of points.