This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2021 at 11:43AM ET.
img WNBA

Las Vegas at Phoenix

October 6, 2021
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Las Vegas has been out of sync in this series and is now on the verge of being eliminated from the playoffs after another blowout loss to Phoenix in Game 3. The Mercury have used its size and guards to control the last two games and the Aces don't seem to have the fortitude to counter it. Brittney Griner and Brianna Turner have been dominant in the paint, forcing the Aces to throw up shots from the outside that mostly didn't go in. It hasn't been much better defensively as the Mercury have scored a total of 204 points the last two games. Phoenix is 20-7-1 ATS the past 28 meetings and 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings at home. Las Vegas is 3-12-1 ATS its past 16 playoff games as a favorite, 0-5 ATS overall its last five versus Western Conference teams. Phoenix is 35-15-2 ATS its past 52 games as an underdog. Take the Mercury as my WNBA Game of the Year

2 units on Phoenix -0.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Aces img
24
25
29
15
93
Phoenix Mercury
29
17
11
19
76
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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